Real Murcia vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
CUL
0 - 1
MUR
50%
21%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
MUR
5 - 1
ARE
76%
14%
10%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
ZAR
3 - 1
MUR
64%
18%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
MUR
4 - 1
CON
55%
21%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1943 |
OSA
1 - 3
MUR
57%
21%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
ALC
6 - 1
ZAR
33%
24%
43%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
CON
1 - 0
ALC
74%
15%
11%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
OSA
3 - 1
ALC
70%
16%
14%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
ALC
0 - 0
BET
46%
22%
32%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1943 |
JFC
2 - 1
ALC
73%
16%
12%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |