Real Murcia vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18.1%
2-0
19.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.5%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
23.3%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.1%
3.5%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
RJA
1 - 1
MUR
16%
27%
58%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 1
CSK
25%
26%
50%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 1
CAD
58%
24%
19%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
ROQ
0 - 3
MUR
17%
25%
58%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 1
SEV
72%
19%
9%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 0
ALC
71%
19%
10%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 0
RJA
20%
27%
54%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CAD
2 - 0
ALC
79%
15%
6%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 0
ROQ
21%
27%
52%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 2
SEV
19%
26%
55%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |