Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 7-1
Real Murcia vs Albacete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
SSC
1 - 4
MUR
41%
29%
30%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
MUR
1 - 0
ATB
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
ALB
1 - 2
MUR
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
ZAR
1 - 0
MUR
39%
29%
33%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
MUR
1 - 2
MAL
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Albacete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
MAL
0 - 0
ALB
67%
22%
12%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
ALB
1 - 1
CFC
50%
28%
22%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
ALB
1 - 2
MUR
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
FCB
1 - 2
ALB
66%
22%
13%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
ALB
1 - 2
ELC
45%
30%
25%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |