Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-2
Real Murcia vs Albacete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.1%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.7%
3.2%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
MUR
2 - 2
HER
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1981 |
BET
1 - 0
MUR
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
MUR
0 - 2
RSO
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
UDL
1 - 2
MUR
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
MUR
1 - 0
OSA
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Albacete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1981 |
LOR
1 - 1
ALB
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
ALB
2 - 0
ALM
81%
14%
5%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
ALB
2 - 1
ORI
73%
18%
10%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
OLI
1 - 0
ALB
47%
26%
27%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
ALB
4 - 2
ALM
75%
17%
8%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |