Real Murcia vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1982 |
SPO
3 - 0
MUR
72%
16%
12%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
LIN
1 - 3
MUR
34%
29%
36%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
MUR
7 - 0
REC
69%
19%
11%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1982 |
MUR
0 - 0
SPO
41%
25%
35%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
XER
0 - 1
MUR
43%
28%
30%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
ALA
2 - 0
ELC
37%
30%
34%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
MLL
2 - 2
ALA
70%
20%
10%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
ALA
1 - 4
PAL
51%
28%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
CAS
0 - 0
ALA
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
ALA
1 - 1
RAY
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |