Real Murcia vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
12.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1969 |
MUR
0 - 1
ELC
72%
20%
9%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
BUR
2 - 0
MUR
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
MUR
1 - 0
CEL
31%
31%
38%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
SEV
2 - 1
MUR
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1969 |
MUR
2 - 0
SPO
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1969 |
ALA
4 - 1
SDI
54%
24%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
ELC
0 - 2
ALA
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
ALA
1 - 3
VAL
40%
25%
36%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
BUR
1 - 1
ALA
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1969 |
ALA
0 - 1
VAD
29%
28%
44%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |