Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 2-5
Real Murcia vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1928 |
MUR
3 - 2
BET
38%
24%
39%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1928 |
LEV
1 - 3
MUR
30%
24%
47%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1928 |
MUR
2 - 1
CAR
76%
14%
10%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1928 |
VCF
3 - 1
MUR
74%
15%
11%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1928 |
SEV
1 - 2
MUR
71%
16%
13%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1928 |
ALA
0 - 1
RMA
37%
23%
40%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1928 |
RSG
0 - 0
ALA
25%
24%
51%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1928 |
ATH
0 - 0
ALA
78%
13%
9%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1928 |
ALA
2 - 1
ATM
36%
23%
41%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1928 |
ALA
2 - 1
RAC
51%
22%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |