Real Murcia vs Águilas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
11%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 2
MUR
29%
29%
43%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
MUR
3 - 1
CSP
68%
21%
11%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 1
HER
47%
28%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ELD
1 - 3
MUR
33%
29%
38%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 2
NUC
42%
29%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Águilas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 1
HER
29%
28%
44%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ELD
0 - 1
AGU
53%
26%
21%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
AGU
2 - 0
NUC
19%
26%
56%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CDE
1 - 0
AGU
55%
25%
20%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
AGU
2 - 1
LEV
27%
28%
45%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +2 |