Real Murcia vs AD Ferroviaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
ALI
2 - 3
MUR
26%
22%
52%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
ELC
0 - 2
MUR
30%
22%
47%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
MUR
2 - 1
IMP
84%
10%
6%
|
60 | 28 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
IMP
2 - 4
MUR
26%
22%
53%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1939 |
MUR
4 - 0
CAR
82%
11%
7%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
AD Ferroviaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
FER
2 - 0
BUR
83%
10%
6%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
ALI
5 - 4
FER
37%
22%
41%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
FER
3 - 1
ELC
60%
19%
21%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
IMP
2 - 2
FER
31%
22%
47%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1939 |
FER
5 - 3
IMP
72%
15%
13%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |