Real Murcia vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
RJA
3 - 1
MUR
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
MUR
2 - 0
EXT
65%
20%
16%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
LEV
3 - 0
MUR
63%
21%
17%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
MUR
0 - 0
SAB
51%
22%
27%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
MUR
1 - 2
CAD
69%
17%
13%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
PUL
1 - 1
CDT
62%
21%
18%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
PUL
1 - 1
RJA
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
EXT
2 - 1
PUL
63%
20%
17%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
PUL
2 - 1
RAC
52%
21%
27%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
PUL
3 - 1
LEV
50%
23%
26%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |