Real Murcia U19 vs CD Roda U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
37.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
11º
15º
11º
7
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
7 | 68 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 64 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 61 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 57 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 48 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 47 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 43 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
|
6º
|
7 | 42 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 40 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 36 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
2 | 31 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 30 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 27 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 27 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 25 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 21 |
16º
|
32% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0.5% | 6.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
1.5% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
51% | 71% |
|
Relegation
|
47% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
MUR
32%
25%
44%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
VAL
25%
22%
53%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 1
MUR
51%
24%
25%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 2
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
UCA
1 - 1
MUR
33%
25%
42%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Roda U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CDR
1 - 0
ALZ
64%
19%
16%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CDR
4 - 2
PAT
82%
12%
6%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 1
CDR
35%
24%
41%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CDR
2 - 1
ELC
22%
23%
55%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 1
CDR
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |