Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-5
Real Murcia Imperial vs Torrevieja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
IMP
7 - 0
CAL
58%
24%
18%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
TOR
3 - 0
IMP
77%
16%
8%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
IMP
1 - 2
HOR
57%
24%
19%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
YEC
6 - 0
IMP
68%
19%
12%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
TOR
4 - 1
IMP
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Torrevieja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
MUL
2 - 0
TOR
34%
28%
38%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
TOR
3 - 0
IMP
77%
16%
8%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
MOL
2 - 4
TOR
41%
28%
32%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
TOR
4 - 1
ALM
80%
14%
6%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
TOR
4 - 1
IMP
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |