Real Murcia Imperial vs UCAM Murcia B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
3º
18º
3º
2
8º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
10º
|
2 | 71 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 63 |
2º
|
13% | |
|
|
14º
|
1 | 61 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 61 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 59 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 58 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 54 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
2 | 54 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 50 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 46 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 46 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 45 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 42 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 40 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 31 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 30 |
16º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 26 |
17º
|
29.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 18 |
18º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
12.5% | 2.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
47% | 23% |
|
Mid-table
|
40.5% | 72% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MSM
3 - 0
IMP
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
COR
4 - 1
IMP
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
IMP
1 - 1
COR
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
IMP
1 - 1
CIE
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
CIE
1 - 1
IMP
43%
26%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UCAM Murcia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
UCA
1 - 1
CAR
25%
24%
51%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 1
UCA
63%
21%
16%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
UCA
2 - 0
BUL
67%
19%
13%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 1
UCA
17%
23%
59%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
UCA
0 - 1
CIE
48%
25%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |