Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 1-2
Real Murcia Imperial vs Oberena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
HER
0 - 0
IMP
82%
12%
5%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1970 |
OBE
2 - 0
IMP
34%
26%
41%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
GAN
2 - 1
IMP
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
IMP
1 - 1
NOV
85%
10%
5%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
IMP
4 - 2
RJA
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Oberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
TUD
4 - 0
OBE
72%
16%
11%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1970 |
OBE
2 - 0
IMP
34%
26%
41%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +4 |
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
UFC
0 - 5
OBE
11%
22%
67%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
OBE
0 - 1
ZAR
57%
22%
21%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
TER
2 - 1
OBE
52%
23%
25%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |