Real Murcia Imperial vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
28.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
ECI
2 - 1
IMP
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
IMP
1 - 1
SRQ
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
SEV
1 - 4
IMP
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
IMP
0 - 2
EST
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
RJA
2 - 2
IMP
49%
28%
23%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
LUC
1 - 1
ROQ
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
POL
2 - 1
LUC
65%
22%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
LUC
3 - 1
GRA
37%
28%
36%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
BET
0 - 0
LUC
44%
27%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
LUC
3 - 0
LOR
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +2 |