Real Murcia Imperial vs Esperanza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
IMP
4 - 1
CEU
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
IMP
13%
22%
65%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
IMP
2 - 0
MSM
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ABA
1 - 0
IMP
9%
20%
72%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
IMP
2 - 0
MAR
51%
26%
23%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Esperanza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 0
CAR
51%
24%
24%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 1
BAL
31%
24%
45%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
AGU
2 - 0
ESP
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 0
CIE
16%
22%
62%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
PIN
2 - 1
ESP
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |