Real Murcia Imperial vs Club Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
15.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 1
IMP
20%
24%
56%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
IMP
2 - 0
PIN
59%
24%
18%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
IMP
1 - 0
JUM
47%
26%
27%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PLU
1 - 0
IMP
23%
25%
52%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
IMP
0 - 0
PUL
60%
23%
17%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Club Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 2
PLU
33%
25%
42%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PUL
4 - 0
FOR
58%
22%
20%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 3
CDB
68%
19%
13%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MSM
3 - 3
FOR
40%
25%
35%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 0
MIN
56%
22%
22%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |