Real Murcia Imperial vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
34.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
18º
5º
40
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
40 | 67 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 64 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 63 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 60 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 58 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 58 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 54 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 53 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 49 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 49 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 38 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 36 |
14º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 28 |
15º
|
56.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 22 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 20 |
17º
|
47% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 16 |
18º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 52% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
40.5% | 43% |
|
Mid-table
|
58% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
IMP
32%
25%
44%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
IMP
0 - 0
UCA
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MSM
3 - 0
IMP
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
COR
4 - 1
IMP
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
IMP
1 - 1
COR
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LOR
6 - 0
CAR
33%
24%
43%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DPM
0 - 5
LOR
12%
17%
72%
|
31 | 6 | 25 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 0
CIE
48%
24%
29%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 4
MUR
9%
18%
73%
|
31 | 61 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 2
ALM
19%
22%
59%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |