Real Murcia Imperial vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
34.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
5º
18º
6º
7
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
7 | 70 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 67 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 66 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 60 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 60 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
|
17º
|
1 | 58 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 51 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 50 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 49 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 45 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 43 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 43 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 41 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 38 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 36 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 34 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 24 |
17º
|
25.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 18 |
18º
|
54% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6% | 33% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
46% | 51.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
48% | 15.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
IMP
32%
25%
44%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
IMP
0 - 0
UCA
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MSM
3 - 0
IMP
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
COR
4 - 1
IMP
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
IMP
1 - 1
COR
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LOR
6 - 0
CAR
33%
24%
43%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DPM
0 - 5
LOR
12%
17%
72%
|
31 | 6 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 0
CIE
48%
24%
29%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 4
MUR
9%
18%
73%
|
31 | 61 | 30 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 2
ALM
19%
22%
59%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |