Real Murcia Imperial vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 1
IMP
47%
24%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
IMP
2 - 4
MIN
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PLU
1 - 2
IMP
19%
24%
57%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 2
IMP
20%
23%
57%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
IMP
3 - 1
BUL
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 1
IMP
47%
24%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 1
ALC
84%
11%
5%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CIE
2 - 1
LOR
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
LOR
4 - 0
EGP
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 7
LOR
15%
21%
64%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |