Real Murcia Imperial vs CF Base Abarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
5.9%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
IMP
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
IMP
1 - 0
PUL
69%
20%
11%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
UCA
2 - 2
IMP
34%
27%
39%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
IMP
3 - 1
LOR
39%
27%
35%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
CEU
0 - 0
IMP
21%
23%
56%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ABA
0 - 0
CAR
44%
27%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ABA
0 - 2
BAL
24%
25%
51%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ABA
0 - 4
AGU
16%
22%
62%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CIE
2 - 0
ABA
79%
14%
7%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
ABA
2 - 1
PIN
17%
23%
60%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +2 |