Real Murcia Imperial vs AD Ferroviaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
47.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1939 |
ALI
5 - 1
IMP
65%
17%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
IMP
1 - 1
ELC
32%
22%
46%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
IMP
2 - 8
BUR
80%
12%
8%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -3 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
IMP
5 - 2
IMP
67%
17%
17%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 31 Dec. 1933 |
IMP
3 - 1
ALI
41%
23%
37%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
AD Ferroviaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1939 |
FER
5 - 3
IMP
72%
15%
13%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
CAR
0 - 0
FER
56%
19%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
FER
2 - 1
MUR
31%
22%
47%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
BUR
0 - 4
FER
23%
21%
56%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1935 |
VAD
4 - 1
FER
76%
14%
11%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |