Real Murcia Imperial vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
43.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 1
IMP
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
IMP
0 - 4
ECI
37%
28%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SRQ
3 - 0
IMP
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
IMP
3 - 1
SEV
32%
29%
39%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
EST
1 - 1
IMP
36%
26%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
AGD
3 - 0
ROQ
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
POL
1 - 2
AGD
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
AGD
2 - 1
GRA
57%
25%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
BET
2 - 1
AGD
31%
28%
40%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
AGD
1 - 0
MAR
57%
26%
17%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |