Real Murcia U19 B vs EDMF Churra Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
6.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+243%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
1º
1º
2
9º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
9 | 75 |
1º
|
38% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 71 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 66 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 64 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 63 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 58 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 51 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 48 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 47 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 46 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 46 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 37 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 36 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 35 |
14º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 33 |
15º
|
11.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 33 |
16º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
2 | 28 |
17º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 24 |
18º
|
32% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
38% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
62% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 1
REA
22%
21%
57%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
REA
2 - 1
UCA
51%
22%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 4
REA
22%
20%
59%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
ARC
2 - 0
REA
12%
18%
71%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
REA
3 - 0
LOR
71%
17%
12%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
EDMF Churra Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
EDM
3 - 3
CAR
24%
21%
55%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ARC
1 - 0
EDM
70%
17%
14%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
EDM
1 - 1
FUT
29%
22%
49%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |