Real Murcia U19 B vs Unión Archena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
5º
4º
14
5º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 80 |
1º
|
79% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 71 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 70 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 66 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 61 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
6º
|
30% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 55 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 50 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 46 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 45 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 43 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 39 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 36 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 34 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 29 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
14 | 23 |
17º
|
28% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 23 |
18º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 91.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
FUT
1 - 0
REA
22%
21%
57%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
REA
1 - 3
CIE
64%
18%
18%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
PIN
1 - 2
REA
32%
23%
45%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
REA
2 - 0
CFC
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
EFT
2 - 1
REA
45%
23%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Archena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
ARC
2 - 3
RAN
46%
24%
31%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ARC
2 - 2
CAR
36%
22%
42%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ARC
0 - 1
CDM
55%
22%
23%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
FUT
3 - 1
ARC
54%
22%
25%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ARC
1 - 1
CIE
24%
20%
55%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |