Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
57.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
MIN
1 - 1
MON
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
NOT
4 - 0
MON
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MON
3 - 1
VAN
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +3 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 1
MON
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
SPK
18%
22%
60%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
TAC
1 - 0
SPK
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
MIN
2 - 1
TAC
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 2
TAC
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
TAC
5 - 1
STL
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SPK
0 - 3
TAC
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |