Real Monarchs vs San Jose Earthquakes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
46.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
MIN
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VAN
5 - 3
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
POR
46%
23%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
POR
2 - 1
MON
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MON
0 - 3
TAC
16%
22%
62%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
San Jose Earthquakes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NOT
1 - 1
SAN
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
POR
1 - 3
SAN
31%
23%
46%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2024 |
LAG
2 - 1
SAN
26%
23%
51%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
COR
1 - 0
SAN
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
STL
0 - 2
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +2 |