Real Monarchs vs Reno 1868 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
MON
2 - 0
POR
69%
20%
12%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
ORA
0 - 1
MON
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2017 |
VAN
1 - 2
MON
33%
25%
41%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
MON
5 - 2
COL
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
MON
2 - 0
SAC
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Reno 1868
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
REN
2 - 0
SAC
53%
24%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
REN
3 - 2
RGV
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
SAC
2 - 0
REN
32%
23%
46%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
COL
3 - 3
REN
38%
26%
37%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2017 |
REN
4 - 0
TUL
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |