Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
NOT
0 - 1
MON
78%
15%
7%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MON
0 - 4
SPK
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
MON
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
TAC
5 - 0
MON
72%
18%
11%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MON
0 - 3
MIN
26%
23%
50%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Portland Timbers II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
LAF
95%
4%
1%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
COR
4 - 2
POR
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
POR
0 - 2
SAN
17%
21%
62%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
VAN
2 - 1
POR
77%
14%
10%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
TAC
0 - 2
POR
88%
9%
3%
|
27 | 55 | 28 | +2 |