Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
TAC
19%
24%
58%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
MIN
1 - 1
MON
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
NOT
4 - 0
MON
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MON
3 - 1
VAN
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +3 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 1
MON
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Portland Timbers II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
POR
3 - 5
STL
15%
21%
64%
|
28 | 61 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
SPK
2 - 0
POR
80%
14%
7%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
POR
2 - 2
NOT
9%
17%
75%
|
28 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
MIN
3 - 1
POR
86%
11%
4%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
SAN
18%
21%
62%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | -1 |