Real Monarchs vs Orange County SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
REN
1 - 2
MON
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
RGV
3 - 1
MON
21%
24%
55%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
TAC
1 - 4
MON
28%
23%
49%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
MON
5 - 1
POR
54%
23%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
LAG
3 - 1
MON
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ORA
2 - 0
OKC
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
RGV
2 - 0
ORA
19%
24%
57%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
TUL
0 - 1
ORA
15%
21%
64%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ORA
2 - 0
EPL
62%
22%
17%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
POR
1 - 2
ORA
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |