Real Monarchs vs North Texas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
54.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
TAC
3 - 0
MON
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
MON
5 - 1
SPK
20%
23%
57%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
MON
4 - 0
AFC
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +4 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
NOT
2 - 1
MON
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
LAG
2 - 0
MON
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
North Texas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
NOT
3 - 3
AFC
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 3
NOT
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
LAF
0 - 4
NOT
25%
25%
50%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
NOT
2 - 1
MON
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
NOT
2 - 1
POR
75%
16%
10%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |