Real Monarchs vs Las Vegas Lights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
MON
2 - 2
OKC
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
ORA
3 - 1
MON
49%
23%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
FFC
1 - 1
MON
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
MON
4 - 1
TUL
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
COL
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Las Vegas Lights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2019 |
TUL
1 - 1
LVG
31%
23%
46%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
LVG
1 - 0
POR
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
ORA
3 - 0
LVG
67%
19%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
SAC
0 - 0
LVG
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
FFC
2 - 1
LVG
73%
17%
11%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |