Real Monarchs vs Ventura County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
VAN
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
REN
0 - 3
MON
58%
24%
19%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
SAC
0 - 2
MON
49%
25%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
ORA
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ARI
2 - 0
MON
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ventura County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
LAG
3 - 2
POR
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
OKC
3 - 0
LAG
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
SPK
3 - 0
LAG
68%
19%
14%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
TUL
1 - 0
LAG
59%
21%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SAC
2 - 1
LAG
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |