Real Monarchs vs Ventura County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
COL
5 - 2
MON
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MON
0 - 1
COL
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
POR
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
POR
3 - 1
MON
41%
26%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
LAG
0 - 0
MON
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ventura County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
LAG
2 - 1
AUS
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SAC
3 - 1
LAG
61%
22%
18%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
LAG
1 - 2
ARI
49%
23%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LAG
2 - 3
SAC
43%
25%
33%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
LAG
0 - 0
MON
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |