Real Monarchs vs Phoenix Rising analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TUL
0 - 1
MON
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MON
3 - 3
LAG
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
LOU
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
ARI
56%
23%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ARI
2 - 3
MON
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Phoenix Rising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
COL
2 - 0
ARI
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SAC
1 - 0
ARI
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
SEA
0 - 2
ARI
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
LAG
2 - 0
ARI
68%
19%
14%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
COR
3 - 0
ARI
85%
11%
5%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | -1 |