Progreditur Marcianise vs San Severo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreditur Marcianise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
APR
0 - 2
REA
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
REA
1 - 1
ACI
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
TUR
0 - 0
REA
43%
26%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
REA
0 - 0
FRA
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 1
REA
49%
24%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
San Severo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SSE
1 - 3
SER
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
RPO
2 - 1
SSE
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SSE
1 - 3
TAR
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
APR
2 - 2
SSE
30%
23%
48%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SSE
0 - 1
NAR
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |