Progreditur Marcianise vs Gallipoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreditur Marcianise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
NAR
0 - 0
REA
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
REA
1 - 3
RPO
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SSE
3 - 0
REA
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
REA
3 - 1
APR
74%
17%
10%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ACI
1 - 0
REA
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Gallipoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
GAL
1 - 0
PIC
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 0
GAL
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
GAL
1 - 1
BIS
36%
26%
38%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
RPO
2 - 1
GAL
54%
20%
26%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
GAL
1 - 1
SSM
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |