Real Mamoré vs The Strongest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
53.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Mamoré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
REA
55%
24%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2011 |
OPE
4 - 1
REA
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
LAP
3 - 1
REA
47%
25%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
REA
2 - 0
NAC
35%
27%
39%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
REA
0 - 2
GUA
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BOL
3 - 1
STR
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LAP
3 - 3
STR
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
STR
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
STR
2 - 1
AUR
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
STR
3 - 5
BOL
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |