Real Mamoré vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
57.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Mamoré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
AUR
3 - 1
REA
75%
17%
9%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
REA
2 - 3
LAP
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
NAC
9 - 0
REA
62%
22%
17%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
REA
1 - 0
STR
22%
24%
54%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
REA
55%
24%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
OPE
1 - 0
STR
54%
24%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
STR
5 - 3
OPE
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
OPE
4 - 1
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 0
OPE
24%
26%
50%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
STR
5 - 0
OPE
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |