Real Mamoré vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
51.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Mamoré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
4 - 2
REA
61%
22%
18%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
REA
1 - 0
RPO
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 0
REA
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
REA
0 - 1
LAP
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 2
REA
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 0
RPO
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LAP
2 - 1
AUR
30%
26%
44%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
AUR
0 - 2
UNI
59%
23%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
STR
1 - 2
AUR
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
AUR
3 - 1
OPE
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |