Real Mamoré vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
42.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Mamoré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
REA
1 - 4
OPE
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
OPE
3 - 1
REA
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2011 |
BOL
4 - 0
REA
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
REA
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
REA
1 - 0
UNI
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
AUR
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
AUR
0 - 0
BLO
50%
26%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
STR
1 - 3
AUR
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
AUR
1 - 0
RPO
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
LAP
0 - 3
AUR
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |