Real Mamoré vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Mamoré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
REA
73%
17%
11%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
REA
2 - 1
BLO
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
STR
1 - 0
REA
69%
18%
12%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
REA
1 - 2
RPO
34%
26%
41%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
LAP
2 - 0
REA
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
AUR
3 - 2
OPE
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BOL
1 - 1
AUR
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
AUR
3 - 1
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 1
AUR
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 0
GUA
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |