Real Madriz vs UNAN Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
REA
0 - 0
CFC
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
DEP
3 - 2
REA
42%
25%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
REA
0 - 3
MAN
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2019 |
JUV
3 - 3
REA
44%
24%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
DIR
2 - 2
REA
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UNAN Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
UNA
4 - 1
JAP
39%
24%
36%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
EST
3 - 0
UNA
72%
19%
9%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
UNA
2 - 3
WAL
31%
28%
41%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
UNA
2 - 1
DIR
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
CFC
1 - 1
UNA
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |