Real Madriz vs UNAN Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
JAP
1 - 1
REA
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
REA
2 - 3
MAN
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 1
REA
55%
24%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
DEP
0 - 2
REA
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
FVI
1 - 4
REA
30%
24%
46%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
UNAN Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2015 |
UNA
4 - 1
DEP
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2015 |
UNA
0 - 2
EST
33%
30%
37%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
UNA
1 - 1
EST
32%
30%
38%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
UNA
3 - 1
JAP
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
DEP
3 - 0
UNA
51%
25%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |