Real Madriz vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
58.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
DIR
4 - 0
REA
66%
20%
13%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
REA
1 - 1
WAL
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
JAP
2 - 1
REA
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
REA
1 - 1
JUV
38%
27%
36%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
2 - 2
REA
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
CFC
2 - 4
EST
18%
25%
57%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
DEP
0 - 1
EST
20%
26%
54%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
EST
1 - 0
DIR
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
DIR
0 - 0
EST
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
MOT
2 - 2
EST
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -2 |