Real Madriz vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
55.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
DIR
2 - 0
REA
77%
16%
7%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
REA
0 - 2
WAL
16%
24%
60%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
MAN
4 - 1
REA
73%
17%
9%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
FCS
5 - 0
REA
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
REA
0 - 4
DEP
26%
26%
48%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
EST
5 - 2
JAP
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CFC
2 - 2
EST
23%
29%
48%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
EST
2 - 0
JUV
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 1
EST
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
EST
3 - 0
DEP
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |