Real Madriz vs FOX Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
JAP
3 - 1
REA
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
REA
1 - 2
UNA
43%
27%
31%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
MAN
3 - 2
REA
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
REA
0 - 2
EST
30%
28%
42%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
REA
3 - 1
DIR
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
FOX Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
FVI
1 - 2
EST
26%
30%
44%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
DEP
5 - 1
FVI
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
DIR
3 - 1
FVI
63%
22%
14%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
UNA
1 - 0
FVI
57%
23%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
FVI
0 - 2
MAN
30%
29%
41%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |