Real Madriz vs FOX Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
EST
3 - 0
REA
66%
20%
13%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
REA
0 - 0
UNA
49%
23%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
JAP
1 - 1
REA
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
REA
2 - 3
MAN
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 1
REA
55%
24%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FOX Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
FVI
0 - 4
WAL
16%
25%
58%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
FVI
1 - 3
MAN
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
DIR
2 - 1
FVI
69%
20%
10%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 1
FVI
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
JAP
2 - 1
FVI
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |