Real Madriz vs FC San Marcos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 2
REA
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
JAP
1 - 2
REA
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
REA
1 - 1
CFC
39%
25%
35%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 1
REA
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
REA
1 - 0
EST
17%
28%
55%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
FC San Marcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
FCS
2 - 2
JAP
39%
24%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
CFC
2 - 2
FCS
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FCS
2 - 3
JUV
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
EST
2 - 0
FCS
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
FCS
0 - 3
DIR
28%
28%
44%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |