Real Madriz vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
REA
1 - 0
JUV
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
UNA
0 - 2
REA
38%
24%
38%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
CFC
3 - 0
REA
35%
24%
41%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
REA
3 - 2
DEP
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
MAN
4 - 2
REA
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
WAL
2 - 1
JAP
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2018 |
EST
0 - 0
WAL
70%
19%
10%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
DIR
0 - 0
WAL
49%
26%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
WAL
2 - 1
UNA
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
WAL
1 - 2
MAN
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |